Category Archives: Wave 5

CarolinaWxGroup Interview and More…

 

Hello everyone!

Be sure to watch my interview with the CarolinaWxGroup on youtube! Dr. Lupo had issues with his camera, but joined in on the phone.

Right now, I’m in the process of gathering data for my January verification post, which will be published in a few days…I promise!  Meeting with Dr. Lupo is at 11:30am today and we plan on discussing quite a few objectives for our future research.

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Year In Review and Christmas Week Follow Up

Hey everyone!

Here we are, Christmas Eve of 2016.  It’s amazing how fast the year has flown by!

Some highlights of 2016 for #organicforecasting as a whole…

  1. Presented the Bering Sea Rule to the American Meteorological Society’s New Orleans Annual Meeting in January.
  2. Presented the Bering Sea Rule to the local Kansas City AMS chapter.
  3. Submitted the Bering Sea Rule and East Asia Rule for peer review.
  4. Recurring Rossby Wave Train abstracts were accepted to the National Weather Association’s Norfolk, VA Annual Meeting in September for oral presentation and Climate Prediction Center Diagnostic Workshop held in Bangor, ME this past October for poster presentation.
  5. Established contacts within the National Weather Service for continued collaboration into research.
  6. Josh has streamlined the data section of organicforecasting.com by adding plenty of new items and tweaking the Recurring Rossby Wave Train calculations.
  7. Interviewed by the University of Missouri College of Agriculture, Food, and Natural Resources and taught the Long Range Forecasting Class of Mizzou’s meteorology program our organic forecasting techniques.

Let’s go ahead and talk about a few things this week.  What the BSR started to see for the 5 day range on December 12th for the 21st-Christmas Day.

Below you will find the NWS Weather Prediction Center’s anomaly maps initialized today for the 1-5 and 3-7 day range.

 

 

 

A few tweets early this month…

 

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Radio Show Interviews

Hey everyone!

 

Finally got the Mid-Missouri Freedom interview from October 6, 2015 uploaded.  Start at 38:40 to hear the interview of Dr. Lupo and myself with Steve of the Mid-Missouri Freedom Forum. At 55:30 is where I talked about this fall and winter.

 

My interview with the Farm & Fiddle Show on 12-02-15 starts at 18:00.

 

 

 

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Mid December Wave 5 Pattern

One of the best discoveries that I found while the initial research period of the BSR was NCAR‘s research into the wave-5 pattern.

Note the 8-10 day outlooks from 12z.
11dec15_wave5

Just in case…here are the 00z
11dec15_wave5_2

The key is placement of the trough. The euro looks more like a Great Lakes/NNE while the GFS is Plains/Rockies look and the CMC is a Rockies focus.

Keep an eye on this as the current lag is ~19 days which translates to the January 5-7, 2016 period.

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