14APR14 Long Range Discussion…
The Bering Sea is showing a decent sized trough tomorrow, with beautiful ridging following on the 18th and 19th. This translates to ridging in Central MO on May 7th and 8th. Then, like clockwork, another trough comes behind on the 20th and 21st of April. This leads me to believe that there will be a severe weather outbreak on May 9th.
Hey gang! Tom Stoltze and I went for a little drive yesterday. Since the warm front was taking it’s time moving NE, we decided to play along US-50 between California and Sedalia. The warm front finally started to move and I noticed the storms starting to pop in NE Kansas City, MO. Coming up on US-65 I told Tom to drive to Marshall for intercept. With storm motions at a meager 18kts, we arrived in Marshall well ahead of the storm. We followed US-24 to Lexington, MO about the same time that Orrick was being hit.
This was above us…
What you are seeing are Mammatus clouds. For the record…they are NOT unusual!
Mammatus Clouds: Rounded, smooth, sack-like protrusions hanging from the underside of a cloud (usually a thunderstorm anvil). Mammatus clouds often accompany severe thunderstorms, but do not produce severe weather; they may accompany non-severe storms as well.
I recorded video of a rotating wall cloud just to the NW of Lexington, but my phone won’t allow me to “share” it.
Tom posted it on his youtube channel though…
We pulled over outside of Waverly and I took a picture of the rotation just South of town.
Tom and I were consistently between the circulation and the hail core to our East and the road network from Waverly to Marshall provided a perfect route as US-65 stair stepped SE. Once we arrived in Marshall, we continued East along Route 41. It was at this time that we stopped and took more video with awesome rotation.
A little further down the road we stopped and saw this report come through spotter network just to our NNW.
Yes…that is 113mph! Here is the velocity scan at that moment…note the deep reds next to the blue hue’s.
When we arrived in Arrow Rock I called the KOPN studio and warned them that Rocheport was in line to receive some severe warning level hail in 45 minutes and it would hit Southwest Columbia in roughly 1.5 hours.
Something of note after seeing what has happened today with a storm chaser getting caught in a tornado in Nebraska and another bragging that he was within 100 yards of a tornado.
Ladies and gentlemen…Tom Stoltze and I ALWAYS have safety in mind. Tom was the driver and I was the navigator. It was my responsibility to place us into the best position as to not jeopardize our safety. Once we got into said position, both of us were constantly scanning the skies for the signs of either a hail shaft, Rear Flank Downdraft, or satellite rotation away from the main rotation. Once we see something that catches our attention, Tom and & I discussed the situation and he would make the call of if we packed up the equipment or not. Then, it would be my decision to place us in a good spot to do the same. Rinse and repeat! Also, during the drive time both of us were scanning the skies for any satellite rotation that might develop and/or pay attention to the main rotation.
So…rest assured that when I am out doing what I love, I do it with the mindset that I will not be complacent enough to not make it home to my children. Which brings me to another topic…my 13 year old was not happy with me when I got back because I didn’t let her know I was leaving.